Wednesday, September 15, 2010

Perspective on O'Donnell

The mainstream media has been busy promoting Christine O'Donnell, but as usual, they aren't giving us any perspective, so here is some analysis from electoral-vote:
O'Donnell got about 30,000 votes yesterday. By way of comparison, the last midterm Senate election in Delaware was in 2002 when 230,000 people showed up to vote, 135,000 of them voting for Democrat Joe Biden. The primary yesterday was closed, with only Republicans allowed to vote for O'Donnell or Castle.
In the general election, those 135,000 Democrats also get to vote, so O'Donnell's chances against New Castle County Executive Chris Coons (D), are slim to nonexistent.
Read more here.
From RCP:
The latest Public Policy Polling (D) results suggest that Christine O'Donnell faces an uphill battle in her race for Vice President Joe Biden's old Senate seat in Delaware. In a poll of 958 likely Delaware voters conducted this weekend, PPP found that Democrat Chris Coons leads O'Donnell 50 percent to 34 percent.
The coming republican civil war:
If the Democrats hold the Senate with around 51 or 52 seats, in part because they won in Delaware, Nevada, and Colorado, all states the Republicans could easily have won, a civil war is going to break out on the first day of the 2012 campaign (Nov. 3, 2010). The GOP leadership is going to be saying to the tea partiers something like: You idiots, we want your votes, just not your dumbass candidates who lose." The tea partiers will respond with: "If you ran real conservatives, we could win, but you run fake Democrats everywhere. It's your own fault." It will get extremely nasty. Count on it. EV