Showing posts with label oregon primary. Show all posts
Showing posts with label oregon primary. Show all posts

Wednesday, May 21, 2008

Kentucky and Oregon Both Have "Hard Working White Americans"

dear hillary,
oregon also has "hard working white americans," but most of them aren't racist. your "hard working white american" supporters on the other hand, are. so why don't you call them out for what they are.
racism is more than a presidential campaign issue. it's a despicable mark on society and these people need to change their ways-- not for the general election because we don't need them-- but for the betterment of our society.
you could do so much to change their attitude when you decide the race is over. why don't you give your own race speech. tell your bigoted supporters that it's wrong. tell them that even if obama was muslim, there would be nothing wrong with that. tell them the advantages of not having a racist heart.

just wishful thinking on my part.
it's late but it's here, more good reading on this issue, finally, by the mainstream media:

nytimes: Consider the media shorthand for both Kentucky and West Virginia, where Hillary Clinton beat Barack Obama by huge margins. These are hard-working, real Americans, the Clinton camp says, and a Democrat can’t win without them.
In fact, both West Virginia and Kentucky have gone against the national tide of the last 8 years and have been trending Republican. Also – and this needs to be said – a significant percentage of the voters in both those states have now indicated that they may not vote for a fellow Democrat simply because he’s black.
Pollsters know that people lie about race; voters rarely come out and say they will not vote for someone because he’s black. Instead, they say things like we’re hearing from West Virginia and Kentucky – that “race is a factor.”
In Kentucky, over 25 percent of Clinton supporters said race was a factor in their vote – about five times the national average for such a question. Clinton, if she really wanted to do something lasting, could ask her supporters why the color of a fellow Democrat’s skin is so important to their vote.
Now, consider the argument that a Democrat needs these states. In 2000, George Bush won West Virginia 52 to 46 percent. Four years later, he’d increased his margin to 56-43.
........
On to Oregon, where Obama won by double digits. A bunch of chai tea sipping elitists, with zero body fat, living in hip lofts while working at Nike, yes? No. Well, they do like running, and tea. Oregon is one of the nation’s whitest states – just under 2 percent of residents are black – but rich it is not. The state is below the national average in both per capita income and median household income.
This suggests that Obama doesn’t have a white working class problem so much as a regional problem, in a place where Democrats won’t win anyway.
In Oregon, voters’ surveys show Obama essentially tied Clinton for the blue collar vote while running up a big victory.
And Oregon, unlike West Virginia and Kentucky, may actually be in play for the general election. Al Gore won it by barely 7,000 votes in 2000, a margin that went up to 60,000 votes in 2004. McCain’s advisers say he’s a perfect fit for the state – independent, somewhat maverick.
So, from a purely strategic point of view, the ability to win white blue-collar voters in an open-minded swing state is certainly more important than a solid red state. I would include Pennsylvania in that equation. Just weeks after all the talk of Obama’s problems in the Keystone state, most polls now show him beating McCain in the general election. more

Oregon Proves It's Culture Not Collar

and by now, you know that "culture" is another code word for not likely to vote for a black person, or intolerant or more bluntly, racist.
in oregon 47% of the "white working class" voted for obama. in kentucky, 19%. hello. unlike this humble blogger, the media has been lumping all the blue collar voters together and not making a distinction, until now. it's about time.
my question is, can't obama win the election without these "culture" voters?
it seems to me that he can and he can handily.

Tuesday, May 20, 2008

Big Turnout in Oregon

update in oregon:
More than 63 percent of registered Democrats have voted in this year's primary, state elections officials just reported. That makes turnout among Oregon Democrats the highest in any of the past nine presidential primaries, beating the 61 percent turnout set back in 1976 when Idaho Sen. Frank Church was battling Southerner Jimmy Carter for the nomination. (Church won Oregon, but Carter won the nomination, and the presidency.)

kentucky, by the way, is expecting a 25%-30% turnout.
An election-day voter stampede is expected to propel Oregon's highest primary turnout in 20 years, state officials projected Monday.

More than 800,000 voters cast ballots in the vote-by-mail election as of Monday, and elections officials predicted another 250,000 will drop off their ballots before today's 8 p.m. deadline.
Secretary of State Bill Bradbury estimates a turnout between 50 percent and 60 percent.
It's safe to say it will be large for a primary, but not for a general election," said Scott Moore, a Bradbury spokesman.

Spurred by the rivalry between Sens. Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, Oregon's 866,700 registered Democrats could set a record for primary participation. As of Monday, 52 percent of Democrats had cast ballots, compared with 38 percent of 672,600 registered Republicans and only 19 percent of 482,495 unaffiliated and other voters.
In 1968, 72 percent of Oregon Democrats cast ballots in a hotly contested race between eventual winner Eugene McCarthy and Robert F. Kennedy.

That was the year nearly 73 percent of all Oregon voters cast ballots in the primary, a record not threatened by today's vote.

Presidential elections typically get the biggest turnouts. In the November 2004 race between President Bush and John Kerry, more than 71 percent of Oregon voters cast ballots.

The Clinton-Obama race has generated big numbers for months -- 23 states have broken records for voter turnout.
Political analysts say conventional wisdom doesn't hold in such an unconventional year. For the first time in 40 years, Oregon votes are crucial in determining the Democratic nominee for president.

After years of declining voter participation, record-breaking turnouts across the country in the 2008 primary election are fanning hope for increased participation in democracy.

"Just eight to 12 years ago, we were having a real crisis in American democracy," said Michael McDonald, who heads the United States Election Project at George Mason University, which collects data on voter turnout history. "If you had projected forward from 1996, there would only be one person voting today. That's why everyone is talking about voter turnout."

While election campaigns have gotten bigger and spendier in recent years, voters in many places have checked out of primary elections. Oregon voters have typically been more active than those across the country, but have waned with national declines. In the 1996 primary, for example, only 38 percent of Oregon registered voters cast a ballot.

Sunday, May 18, 2008

Obama Rally in Iowa May 20

obama returns to the state that started the roll. this will be election day for kentucky and oregon. this is the day that obama will announce he will have
the majority of the delegates (only 14.5 away today).

Barack and Michelle Obama at a rally in Des Moines on Tuesday, May 20th.

Rally with Barack and Michelle Obama
E. 6th Street and E. Locust Street
Des Moines, IA

Tuesday, May 20th, 2008
Doors Open: 7:30 p.m.

Public Entrance at E. 6th Street and Grand Avenue.

The event is free and open to the public. Tickets are not required but an RSVP is strongly encouraged. Admission is on a first-come, first-served basis.

For security reasons, do not bring bags and limit personal items. No signs or banners are permitted.

Upcoming primary and caucus schedule

Monday, May 05, 2008

Looking To West Virginia and Beyond



montanans make due with an obama cut-out.

in west virginia, obama's chances of winning are like a snowball's in hell. west virginia is like pennsylvania and ohio combined. voting for a black person in west virginia goes against that state's cultural grain. it will go to the republicans in the general election.



but there are people working their tails off on behalf of obama.

the second poll for west virginia is out since march, when hillary's lead was 28. the latest poll shows hillary with a 29 point lead.

west virginia has 26 delegates at stake and its primary is may 13.

obama recently opened offices there.

after west virginia is kentucky and oregon on may 20. kentucky has 47 delegates and oregon has 48. kentucky will likely be like west virgina, pennsylvania and ohio combined. but hopefully obama will score a win in progressive oregon.



they will be followed up by montana and south dakota june 3 and finally, the puerto rico caucus june 7.


then that's all folks. it will be in the hands of the superdelegates, if hillary hasn't exited.
No Way, No How Can Hillary Win
Hillary’s Impossible Chances of Winning
It’s Still Over for Hillary
The Clintons’ Fraud Case
No Way, No How Can McCain Win
The Incredible Shrinking Republicans