Obama Wins Texas

99 delegates for obama, 94 for clinton.
another report at burntorangereport.com

Clinton Wins Obama Still Leads

after 12 wins in a row for obama, clinton wins the popular vote in ohio and rhode island and maybe texas.

she's like a thorn. i kid. i suppose she deserves to carry on. her supporters have as much sweat and equity in her campaign. let's not turn into "hillary haters." then we'll be behaving just like those unmentionables.

and let's not blame race or karl rove. we knew these could be factors. the obama camp has to rise above. may the best person win (and we know who that is) wink, wink.

back to texas for a moment. even if she wins the popular vote in texas, obama is likely to win the most delegates in texas. it's all about the delegates.

i'm not looking forward to the plumbing that goes along with the kitchen sink and all the rest of the political shenanigans. what's next? obama's name, his race and his authenticity have been attacked. let's hope we can hash out some more of the issues. who is john mccain going to go after? the democrats in general?

in the meantime, let's have some fun with delegate math at slate.com's delegate counter.

if we plug in the percents for obama and clinton and add them to current delegate counts, obama still has a lead. it's uncertain how much of a lead until texas numbers are in.

this story from newsweek says clinton could win 16 straight and still lose.

up next: mississippi caucus on March 8 and wyoming primary on march 11

Up to date delegate tracker

here is the arcade fire video. the band performed at an obama rally.

Texas Primer The Run Down

from new republic:

Welcome to Texas: home of the most ludicrous, convoluted, and downright screwy Democratic primary system in America. Actually, it's not even a primary; it's a primary-caucus hybrid, the electoral equivalent of the turducken. In advance of the big March 4 primary, we've put together a primer to help explain the intricacies of the process.

Delegate Count
228 delegates (126 through primary; 67 through caucus; 35 unpledged superdelegates)

In-state fundraising through February 28
Hillary Clinton $4.9 million
Barack Obama $3.6 million
Demographics of Democratic primary voters
Hispanic: 37.1%
Black: 22%
White: 38.1%
Female: 51.9%
29 and under: 11%
65 and over: 26.1%
Union Members: 476,000
Latest PollsRasmussen (2/27) Obama 48; Clinton 44
InsiderAdvantage (2/27): Obama 43; Clinton 47
SurveyUSA (2/25): Obama 49; Clinton 45
CNN (2/24): Obama 50; Clinton 46

CNN Poll: Obama 48 Clinton 50 in Texas

those are some good numbers. visit burntorangereport.com for the scoop on the texas race. it would send obama on his way if he wins texas because clinton needs texas. texas votes march 4.

here is a texas delegate calulator for inclined political junkies who can't stop thinking about the race. i am one of those, though i've never ever been before.

this is how they figure delegates in the lone star state. texas apparently has a unique situation that favors obama because past voter turnout (large black contingent of voters) determines delegate allocation.

here's how obama can win texas. burntorange says:

Key Point: Unless Senator Clinton can gain 62.51% of the vote in the four biggest South Texas Districts, she and Senator Obama will split most of the South Texas (largely Latino) vote.

here's fun with colorful maps and cool analysis by someone who switched from clinton to obama.
texas voting information apparently, it's somewhat confusing.

here's the rundown for this week: tomorrow, hawaii and wisconsin take to the polls
wednesday: sen kennedy campaings for obama in texas
thursday: obama clinton debate in austin.

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