Showing posts with label superdelegate count. Show all posts
Showing posts with label superdelegate count. Show all posts

Saturday, May 10, 2008

Virgin Island Superdelegates For Obama

Virgin Island superdelegates Carole Burke and Kevin Rodriquez endorsed Barack Obama today. Rodriquez had previously backed Senator Clinton but decided to switch his endorsement, citing Obama’s ability to unite the Democratic Party and win the White House:

While I have great respect for Senator Clinton, today I am announcing my support for Barack Obama. Senator Obama has brought a new generation and energy into the democratic process and the Democratic Party. He has shown he can connect with Democrats, Republicans and Independents across this country, whether we live on the mainland or an island. Senator Obama’s judgment to lead, courage to tell the truth and commitment to working men and women make him the best candidate to lead this country forward.

274 superdelegates have now endorsed Barack Obama and 122 have endorsed since February 5. Obama is 157 delegates away from securing the Democratic nomination.

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

Who Can Beat McCain?

that's what it all boils down to.
each candidate has to make their case to the superdelegates that they can beat mccain. why the superdelegates?
there just aren't enough pledged delegates left ( 2,025 is the magic number) for either candidate to win by pledged delegates, so it will be up to the supers, who are free to support whichever candidate they want.
the way it stands now, after mississippi, obama strengthened his lead in popular vote to about 700,000 (see my sidebar), has won the most states, and increased his pledged delegate lead to 148 and is gaining on clinton in supers.
there are about 300 undecided supers, 796 in all. note, that even if michigan and florida delegates were counted as they are now (which isn't fair seeing that obama's name wasn't even on the michigan ballot and he didn't campaign in florida because the two states were supposedly ousted for not following party rules) obama would still lead in delegates, 1,452 delegates, to clinton's 1,415.
since march 3, obama has gained 14 supers to clinton's 6 (one of those was an add-on from february). these numbers come from this super duper up to date delegate tracker.
note that many of the news organizations combine pledged delegates and superdelegates, which shouldn't be happening because you can't get an accurate count. supers don't have to vote like their state or their districts, and supers can change their mind, as many have, and they can vote for whichever candidate they choose. most of the news organization are in disagreement with these numbers.
but even when the pledged delegates and the superdelegates are added, obama still leads. obama needs 432 more pledged delegates and clinton, 541.
clinton's only case is to the superdelegates. they're likely to only care about one thing: who can beat john mccain?
clinton's argument for winning is her "big state" theory, which doesn't prove out in a general Superdelegates, Superdelegates, Superdelegates
On the Minds of Superdelegates 1
On the Minds Of Superdelegates 2
General Election Map and Calculator
Obama: the Un-Beholden President
Bogus Big States Argument
Obama’s Pennsylvania Strategy
It’s Still Over for Clinton