Friday, January 15, 2010

Scott Brown Warns Obama to Stay Away

I'm thinking Martha Coakley is going to win by a mile, or at least by a comfortable margin.
All the hype seems to be generated by one pollster and the media. Seems to me that the pollster is showing some bias, which may affect the way he polls:
Riding a wave of opposition to Democratic health-care reform, GOP upstart Scott Brown is leading in the U.S. Senate race, raising the odds of a historic upset that would reverberate all the way to the White House, a new poll shows.

Although Brown’s 4-point lead over Democrat Martha Coakley is within the Suffolk University/7News survey’s margin of error, the underdog’s position at the top of the results stunned even pollster David Paleologos.

“It’s a Brown-out,” said Paleologos, director of Suffolk’s Political Research Center. “It’s a massive change in the political landscape.” Boston Herald
The pollster also is counting on a high number of independents turning out:
Paleologos said bellwether models show high numbers of independent voters turning out on election day, which benefits Brown, who has 65 percent of that bloc compared to Coakley’s 30 percent. Kennedy earns just 3 percent of the independent vote, and 1 percent are undecided.
Clinton railed against the tea partiers today in Boston:
About 1,500 supporters packed the Fairmont Copley this afternoon to watch former President Bill Clinton stump for embattled U.S. Senate candidate Martha Coakley.

Clinton used the forum to rail against the so-called Tea Party movement of grassroots organizers who oppose federal government initiatives.

“There is a mass national effort to discourage progressive independents from voting and to discourage disappointed liberals from voting,” Clinton said. Boston Herald
Scott Brown, Coakley's opponent warned Obama to stay away, but Obama's headed to Boston on Sunday:
Surging GOP Senate candidate Scott Brown yesterday warned President Obama to “stay away” from the Bay State during his roiling race against Democratic rival Martha Coakley and not to interfere with their intensifying battle in the campaign’s final days.

“He should stay away and let Martha and I discuss the issues one on one,” Brown said. “The machine is coming out of the woodwork to get her elected. They’re bringing in outsiders, and we don’t need them.” BH
If Brown wins by a good margin, then that means that the tea party types have are having an impact. Take a look at this reader poll at the Boston Herald. There isn't one positive response and when I checked, the largest percent of the people said It will hurt. It appears desperate. But the tea partiers appear to be all over the Boston Herald site:
Will the visit by President Obama help or hurt Martha Coakley?
It will help, her poll numbers are slipping
It will hurt. It appears desperate
It will hurt, Obama’s poll numbers are slipping
I’ll wait to see what he has to say