Remember how Obama beat Hillary with the delegate strategy -- every delegate matters. The Hillary chiefs didn't pay attention to delegates and instead went after a big-state strategy. Many of Hillary's supporters were caught off-guard when Obama won and accused him of cheating. He didn't cheat. He just knew that caucuses were important and winning delegates in every state mattered, which is why the Obama camp didn't take a big state strategy.
Well, now it's the electoral college that matters. Not the popular vote in national polls, which are spiking terror in the hearts of Obama supporters. So relax and get to work-- registering voters and phone banking -- and know that Obama's ahead in the electoral college. What's going to affect the electoral vote is getting as many people registered to vote as possible and then encouraging them to actually vote on the day that it matters.
This election will bring out record numbers of voters and most of the voters are democrats. I'll say again, if the younger voter -- 18 to 35 -- comes out as predicted, then Obama will win. This will be a generational election, in my humble opinion. The scene post election could be broadcasters and pundits musing at how it was the younger vote that helped lead to an Obama win.
If you're going to look at polls, look at state polls, which is reflective of the electoral college. Most states are winner take all in electoral votes.
Check out the electoral college maps in my center sidebar. Here's some more good stuff.
La Times: National polls suggest the race is a tossup. In presidential contests, though, the trick is stringing together victories in enough states to clear a 270-vote majority in the electoral college.
With the election less than two months out, each campaign is reevaluating the map. Privately, McCain strategists acknowledge they are up against a mighty field operation assembled by the Obama campaign, which McCain's team has been hard-pressed to match.
The Obama campaign's worries include carrying Wisconsin and New Hampshire, two states that voted Democratic four years ago but are no sure thing this time around. They are also keeping a wary eye on Michigan, another Democratic state in 2004. Obama made two stops there Monday, talking about the slumping economy.
"We had no illusions that this was going to be anything but close," David Axelrod, Obama's lead strategist, told reporters recently.
Armed with the larger bank account, Obama's plan has been to maximize his chances by trying to win states that were out of reach to Democrats in recent elections. He is making serious investments of staff and advertising in 18 states, 14 of which voted to reelect President Bush in 2004.