Wednesday, September 24, 2008

McCain Camp: ABC WaPo Poll and Outlier

Another poll today, the Diageo/Hotline poll had similar results, Obama up 6. I don't understand why the McCain camp would bother to dispute the poll. Interesting. The Obama camp disregards polling, their eye on the ball. National polls are irrelevant unless the trend changes, which it has. Maybe that's why the McCain camp is getting scared. 
The Fix: On the heels of a new Washington Post-ABC News poll that showed Barack Obama leading John McCain 52 percent to 43 percent nationally, the Arizona senator's campaign convened a conference call today insisting that the survey was an "outlier".

Bill McInturff, the lead pollster for McCain, insisted that the campaign's internal data showed none of the "volatility" present in recent public polling, arguing that the race has been within the margin of error for the last several weeks.

At the crux of McInturff's argument was the fact that the Democratic party identification in the Post poll was 16 points higher than the Republican identification -- a far larger margin than the Democratic ID edge in other recent public polling.