The first major poll of the Oregon Democratic primary is out. SurveyUSA has Barack Obama leading Hillary Clinton, 52% to 42%. Obama is expected to win Oregon and these numbers are in line with what is expected. With him holding a double digit lead with over a month to go, he shouldn't have too hard a time expanding that lead (or at least sustaining it) once he actually starts paying attention to the state (let's keep in mind that he trends upward once he starts campaigning in a state aggressively). Of course, this is all assuming that the race is still going on when Oregon rolls around. Clinton could withdraw as early as the end of April (if she loses Pennsylvania which remains unlikely at this point) or after May 6th when she is expected to lose North Carolina and may lose Indiana as well.
The reason why polls like this matter though is they establish Clinton's "momentum" as a myth.
Tuesday, April 08, 2008
Obama Leads in Oregon
for what it's worth, a new surveyUSA poll shows (polls are good and bad, they measure and influence, in this case it's good and influential) obama with a 10 lead over hillary in oregon.
