New Zogby Poll Shows Obama Within 1 Point

i don't trust these polls for a second but here it is:

The survey, which was conducted April 15-16, 2008 and came out of the field midway through Wednesday's contentious debate between the two candidates in Philadelphia, shows Clinton at 45% and Obama at 44%, with 12% either wanting someone else or left undecided.

The telephone survey, conducted using live operators working out of Zogby's on-site call center in Upstate New York, included 601 likely Democratic primary voters in Pennsylvania. It carries a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percentage points.

yesterday's public policy poll also puts the race at about even.

Obama Leads in Oregon

for what it's worth, a new surveyUSA poll shows (polls are good and bad, they measure and influence, in this case it's good and influential) obama with a 10 lead over hillary in oregon.

The first major poll of the Oregon Democratic primary is out. SurveyUSA has Barack Obama leading Hillary Clinton, 52% to 42%. Obama is expected to win Oregon and these numbers are in line with what is expected. With him holding a double digit lead with over a month to go, he shouldn't have too hard a time expanding that lead (or at least sustaining it) once he actually starts paying attention to the state (let's keep in mind that he trends upward once he starts campaigning in a state aggressively). Of course, this is all assuming that the race is still going on when Oregon rolls around. Clinton could withdraw as early as the end of April (if she loses Pennsylvania which remains unlikely at this point) or after May 6th when she is expected to lose North Carolina and may lose Indiana as well.

The reason why polls like this matter though is they establish Clinton's "momentum" as a myth.

Poor Hillary Says She's Tired

which is making her misspeak and makes you wonder how tired she's going to be at 3 am.
new nbc numbers: clinton's positive rating is down 8 points in 2 weeks to 37%
obama's down 2 points in 2 weeks to 49%
20% of obama supporters will consider mccain if clinton steals the nomination and 20% of clinton supporters will consider mccain.
60% of people said obama can unite the country/46% for clinton.
the rest is here.