Showing posts with label upcoming primaries. Show all posts
Showing posts with label upcoming primaries. Show all posts

Monday, May 26, 2008

Bill Clinton Makes Last Ditch Scramble for Whitehouse

bill has stars in his eyes and can't wait to get back in that big white house. but it ain't going to happen.

he says there is a big "cover up" against hillary's chances of winning. he's saying superdelegates are being bullied to choose now.

i think bill and hill and their die-hard supporters are suffering a mass delusion. the incredibly shrinking clintons aren't what they used to be. nah, hill and bill know exactly what they're doing. they're using twisted logic to dupe people, exploiting those who don't know any better. her campaign has failed in strategy from the start because it discounted the rules. ever since, hill and bill have been trying to change the rules as they go.

on another note, i heard on npr today that although puerto rico is deemed as hillary's territory, it may not be so. puerto ricans view themselves as "mulatto," of mixed heritage, and identify with obama in that regard, according to a political analyst there.

interesting thing about puerto rico is it can vote in the primary but not in the general election, even though they are U.S. citizens, because it is considered a U.S. territory. some in puerto rico would like that changed. others want to become independent. the analyst made another interesting point. ironically, it might be puerto rico, not allowed to vote for president, that might give obama the delegates he needs to win when it votes on june 1. montana and south dakota go to the polls on june 3.

cnn: "I can't believe it. It is just frantic the way they are trying to push and pressure and bully all these superdelegates to come out," Clinton said at a South Dakota campaign stop Sunday, in remarks first reported by ABC News.

Clinton also suggested some were trying to "cover up" Sen. Clinton's chances of winning in key states that Democrats will have to win in the general election.

" 'Oh, this is so terrible: The people they want her. Oh, this is so terrible: She is winning the general election, and he is not. Oh my goodness, we have to cover this up.' "

Clinton did not expound on who he was accusing.

The former president added that his wife had not been given the respect she deserved as a legitimate presidential candidate.

"She is winning the general election today and he is not, according to all the evidence," Clinton said. "And I have never seen anything like it. I have never seen a candidate treated so disrespectfully just for running."

"Her only position was, 'Look, if I lose I'll be a good team player. We will all try to win, but let's let everybody vote, and count every vote,' " he said.

The former president suggested that if the New York senator ended the primary season with an edge in the popular vote, it would be a significant development.

"If you vote for her and she does well in Montana and she does well in Puerto Rico, when this is over she will be ahead in the popular vote," Clinton said.

Obama’s Advisers
Obama’s Team

Obama’s Foreign Policy Brain Trust

Thursday, May 08, 2008

Obama Should Have Enough Delegates by May 20

keep your eye on that date, coming around the corner.
david axelrod, obama's chief strategist, said that by may 20, they expect to have enough delegates. so i've answered my own question about why hillary is staying in -- cause it's almost over. she may as well go out on a high note and raise more money from her supporters so that she can pay off her debts. the next contests are may 13 west virginia (26 delegates) and may 20 is kentucky (47 delegates) and oregon (48 delegates). obama needs 169 more delegates, and should get roughly 60 from the next few contests, so they must be expecting more superdelegates.

cnn: Obama's chief strategist, David Axelrod, said his candidate and Clinton will "probably end up roughly splitting the remaining delegates" in those races.

"There's more superdelegates uncommitted right now than there are remaining pledged delegates," Axelrod said. "We feel by May 20, we will have secured a majority of the delegates. So I think we're in a very strong position here."
upcoming primaries
good grief, more insight from politico:
It’s a train wreck waiting to happen, with one candidate claiming to be the nominee while the other vigorously denies it, all predicated on an argument over what exactly constitutes the finish line of the primary race.

The Obama campaign agrees with the Democratic National Committee, which pegs a winning majority at 2,025 pledged delegates and superdelegates—a figure that excludes the penalized Florida and Michigan delegations. The Clinton campaign, on the other hand, insists the winner will need 2,209 to cinch the nomination—a tally that includes Florida and Michigan.

“We don’t accept 2,025. It is not the real number because that does not include Florida and Michigan,” said Howard Wolfson, one of Clinton’s two chief strategists. “It’s a phony number.”

Wolfson said they intend to contest the DNC’s 2,025 number “every day,” as well as any declaration of victory made by Obama based upon that number, because it does not include Florida and Michigan.
In January, Clinton won both states by wide margins when Obama did not actively contest them. The two states were stripped of their delegates for holding early primaries not sanctioned by the Democratic National Committee.

Obama will not reach the 2,025 magic number on May 20. Rather, on that date he is all but certain to hit a different threshold—1,627 pledged delegates, which would constitute a winning majority among the 3,253 total pledged delegates if Florida and Michigan are not included.

“On May 20 we’re going to declare victory,” said an Obama senior advisor who asked that his name be withheld to speak candidly, adding that after those contests they will be “the ones with the most pledged delegates and the most popular votes.”

While the nature of that declaration of victory is “still developing,” in the advisor’s words, the Obama campaign contends that the winner of a majority of pledged delegates should be the party nominee.

“Senator Obama, our campaign and our supporters believe pledged delegates is the most legitimate metric for determining how this race has unfolded,” wrote Obama campaign manager David Plouffe Wednesday in a memo to superdelegates. “It is simply the ratification of the DNC rules - your rules - which we built this campaign and our strategy around.”

But the Clinton campaign’s insistence on counting Florida and Michigan would alter not only the overall delegate math, but the pledged delegate math as well. Because if the two states are included in the count, the total number of pledged delegates would rise from 3,253 to 3,566—which means the magic number for a majority rises to 1,784, not 1,627 as the Obama campaign asserts.

the democratic national committee needs to show some leadership and step up real fast.
No Way, No How Can Hillary Win
It’s Still Over for Hillary
The Clintons’ Fraud Case
No Way, No How Can McCain Win
The Incredible Shrinking Republicans
How Hillary Exploited “White Working Class”
The Real Reason Hillary Stays In
Hillary Compensates for Her Femaleness

Tuesday, May 06, 2008

Hillary Goes On With Even Smaller Chances

what could she possibly be thinking? she's hoping for an obama meltdown. she's boring me. and one of the things i part with obama is supporting her in the general election if she steals it.

nyt: Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton’s loss in North Carolina Tuesday night, combined with a tight race in Indiana, where the counting was continuing deep into the night, did nothing to improve her chances of securing the Democratic presidential nomination. If anything, Mrs. Clinton’s options for overtaking Senator Barack Obama may have dwindled further.

For Mr. Obama, the outcome came after a brutal period in which he was on the defensive over the inflammatory comments of his former pastor. That he was able, at a minimum, to hold his own under those circumstances should allow him to make a case that he has proved his resilience in the face of questions about race, values and patriotism — the very kinds of issues that the Clinton campaign has suggested would leave him vulnerable in the general election.

When paired with Mr. Obama’s comfortable victory in North Carolina, a bigger state, Mrs. Clinton’s performance in Indiana did not seem to be enough to cut into Mr. Obama’s lead in pledged delegates or in his overall lead in the popular vote. And because Mrs. Clinton did not appear to come particularly close in North Carolina, despite a substantial effort there, she lost an opportunity to sow new doubts among Democratic leaders about Mr. Obama’s general-election appeal.

Monday, May 05, 2008

Looking To West Virginia and Beyond



montanans make due with an obama cut-out.

in west virginia, obama's chances of winning are like a snowball's in hell. west virginia is like pennsylvania and ohio combined. voting for a black person in west virginia goes against that state's cultural grain. it will go to the republicans in the general election.



but there are people working their tails off on behalf of obama.

the second poll for west virginia is out since march, when hillary's lead was 28. the latest poll shows hillary with a 29 point lead.

west virginia has 26 delegates at stake and its primary is may 13.

obama recently opened offices there.

after west virginia is kentucky and oregon on may 20. kentucky has 47 delegates and oregon has 48. kentucky will likely be like west virgina, pennsylvania and ohio combined. but hopefully obama will score a win in progressive oregon.



they will be followed up by montana and south dakota june 3 and finally, the puerto rico caucus june 7.


then that's all folks. it will be in the hands of the superdelegates, if hillary hasn't exited.
No Way, No How Can Hillary Win
Hillary’s Impossible Chances of Winning
It’s Still Over for Hillary
The Clintons’ Fraud Case
No Way, No How Can McCain Win
The Incredible Shrinking Republicans

Sunday, February 10, 2008

Obama Sweeps the Weekend Next Up

obama wins maine.
next up Feb. 12: DC, maryland, virginia.
Obama newspaper endorsements
Upcoming primary and caucus schedule
Delegate tracker
Everything barack obama

clinton fires campaign manager patty solis doyle (it's not her fault!)

texas newspapers endorse obama
san antonio
dallas morning news
austin texas
el paso times

Superdelegates or Voters to Decide Election

we all had better get out there and vote for a candidate because if the delegate math doesn't play out then the slimey world of politics would kick in. And then it wouldn't be up to the voters to decide who wins the democratic nomination. it would be the superdelegates. not a good scenario. we need to vote like mad.

today it's maine's turn amid big snow and wind today
thousands at maine rally.
the baltimore sun endorsed obama.
other newspaper endorsements
NYT superdelegate story
upcoming primaries and caucuses.