Regardless of states won, many Democratic strategists expect Sen. Clinton and Sen. Obama to roughly split the delegates tomorrow, with each reaping roughly 800 toward the 2,025 majority needed for the nomination.
"Proportional representation" will "make it impossible for somebody to pull ahead," says Democratic consultant Tad Devine, who is uncommitted. Nevada's caucuses last month were a case in point: Sen. Clinton won overall, but Sen. Obama got more delegates under Nevada's formula since his support was more geographically dispersed.
Monday, February 04, 2008
Obama Closes in on Clinton
good analysis from the wsj
