Showing posts with label quinnipiac poll. Show all posts
Showing posts with label quinnipiac poll. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 01, 2008

Poll: Obama Breaks 50 in Florida Penn Ohio


Hello and good morning! This is really good news for the First of October.
Qunniapiac: FLORIDA: Obama 49 - McCain 43 pre-debate; Obama 51 - McCain 43 post-debate;
OHIO: Obama 49 - McCain 42 pre-debate; Obama 50 - McCain 42 post-debate; PENNSYLVANIA: Obama 49 - McCain 43 pre-debate; Obama 54 - McCain 39 post-debate Friday's presidential debate, Gov. Sarah Palin's sagging favorability and more voter confidence in Sen. Barack Obama's ability to handle the economy are propelling the Democrat to wider likely voter leads over Republican John McCain in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, according to simultaneous Quinnipiac University Swing State polls released today.

Also good news, Palin is lagging:
"Sen. Obama clearly won the debate, voters say. Their opinion of Gov. Sarah Palin has gone south and the Wall Street meltdown has been a dagger to McCain's political heart. Roughly a third of voters, and almost as large a share of the key independent vote, say McCain did more harm than good in trying to resolve the financial crisis, and the share of voters who see the economy as the top issue has risen from roughly half to six in ten."
Full details.

Monday, August 04, 2008

Quinnipiac Pollster Advocates for McCain

I know pollsters often contribute to stories but it seems like a conflict of interest to me that a pollster would actually write a blog for the Wall Street Journal, advocating on behalf of McCain.

Doesn't that pollute your sample? This confirms my belief that the only purpose of the polls right now is to influence the election, not reflect what voters are thinking.

The media has bought into this idea that Obama is even with McCain because of the polls. No way. No how. Have you noticed the polls all follow each other like a pack of dogs. Come September, the pollster pack will have to start doing their job correctly.

WSJ: Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, specializes in polling of electoral battleground states, including Ohio and Florida.

The conventional wisdom is that $4 gasoline raises the odds that Sen. Barack Obama will become the nation’s next president.

This may well turn out to be the case, since history suggests an ailing economy, in this case hurt by high energy prices, works to the advantage of the political party that does not hold the White House.

Yet, the American people are undergoing a change of opinion when it comes to all things energy that might actually provide a useful campaign opportunity for Sen. John McCain.

Simply put, this transformation offers the Republican presidential nominee a potential vehicle to turn around his largest problem – voters don’t think he can resurrect the nation’s slumping economy.

This pollster doesn't mention that McCain CANNOT lower gas prices with offshore drilling.
Here's more:
To be clear, the surveys found that Americans would still prefer that future energy needs be met by development of alternative energy sources such as solar, wind or biomass. They want the government to mandate better car mileage and also say they favor more conservation over more exploration.

However, what has changed is that high energy prices have apparently driven home the argument that the pro-drilling and nuclear power folks have been making for years: That renewable, alternative energy sources are decades from being able to significantly cut America’s need for fossil fuels. And the only way to bring down the high prices and avoid sending billions of dollars daily overseas is to increase domestic production of oil and natural gas.

Interestingly, the public’s support for drilling appears to override its distaste for President George W. Bush. While only roughly a quarter of Americans approve of the president’s job performance, strong majorities agree with him that Congress needs to follow his decision to allow drilling in previously closed offshore oil fields.

A funny blog poking fun at pollsters.

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

NY Up With Obama No Dream Ticket

all the hype for naught.
the swamp: But within the findings of the newest Quinnipiac University poll: Some encouraging word for a candidate who has fought for, and struggled among, white working class voters in the neighboring state of Pennsylvania and elsewhere during the Democratic primaries:

While Obama holds an overall 50-36 percent advantage over McCain in New York, Obama stands even with McCain among white voters: Obama 42, McCain 43.

This represents a gain since an April 18 survey, when New York's Sen. Hillary Clinton still was in contention for the Democratic nomination, and in a matchup with Obama McCain claimed the support of white voters by a margin of 48 to 38 percent.

Obama's current hold on the black vote in New York State is solid: 87-6 percent against McCain. And Obama holds an overwhelming advantage among younger voters there - 59-29 among voters under 45. He leads among men, 45-50, and among women, 53-32.

Also: The home-state crowd is warning against that "dream team:"

New York State voters - Republicans actually -- say, by a margin of 48 - 42 percent, that Obama should not pick Clinton as his running mate. Democrats support the idea 53 - 35, while Republicans oppose it 62 - 27 percent and independents oppose it 53 - 41 percent.
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