politico.....
“I watched all of these primaries and caucus states and decided Barack Obama was the most electable,” Romer said. Which is what superdelegates, the party insiders, were created to do: make cold calculations instead of giving their hearts away.
His calculations are wrong, says the Clinton campaign. He doesn’t realize that Obama has all these problems: He can’t win working-class voters, he can’t win voters who lack college degrees, he can’t win all sorts of voting groups that Democrats need to win in this fall. (And he has trouble with white voters in certain states: An incredible 20 percent of white voters in West Virginia said race was a factor in their vote, according to exit polls, a percentage second only to that of Mississippi.)
The Obama campaign has three answers to this: First, just because Obama loses a voting bloc in a primary does not mean he will lose the same group in the general election. The Democratic base is going to vote for the Democratic nominee no matter who it is. And among general election voters, Obama aides say, Obama is doing just fine. (And, besides, no Democratic president since Lyndon Johnson has won the white vote, anyway.)
“Put your brains back in your head and look at the national polls instead of local, primary polls,” a senior Obama aide told me Tuesday in a phone interview. “In national polls, we win every income group against John McCain except those people making $100,000-plus, where we lose by one point, which is a tie.
“Among white, non-college voters, McCain leads Obama 52-40 and he leads Clinton 52-44. A four-point difference between us and Clinton, well within the margin of error.
“Overall in head-to-head matchups, we are beating McCain by more than she is. And, most importantly, we are winning independents 51-42 against McCain, and Clinton loses independents 49-46 against McCain. Se we are plus nine among independents and she is minus three.”
Obama’s second argument is that the slicing and dicing of the electorate into neat little groups misses what he is about: He is unifying figure. He represents change, he says, and he will attract the votes of people who want change, regardless of the neat boxes that pollsters put them in.
Third, Obama believes he is the victim of a dirty trick. He used that phrase. And all he needs to do, he believes, is get the truth out in order to build his numbers.
He was at Schultzie’s Billiards in South Charleston, W. Va., on Monday when a reporter asked, “How problematic are those rumors ... that you don’t pledge allegiance, that you’re a Muslim? They are out there.”
Obama replied, “They’ve been out there since the beginning of this campaign. This is something that has been systematically fed into the bloodstream. We notice these e-mails get sent out in each successive state that we were campaigning in, which indicates that it is not just a random sort of viral thing. I think you know this is a dirty trick that folks are playing on voters.”
As an antidote to dirty tricks, Obama stated -- once again -- that he is a Christian.
Given the long odds of actually defeating Obama, however, why does Clinton keep running?
Because, she said, Tuesday night, “I am more determined than ever to carry on this campaign until everyone has had a chance to make their voices heard.”
She has no alternative. Just as sharks swim in order to breathe, candidates run in order to exist. read it all.
Showing posts with label electability west virginia primary. Show all posts
Showing posts with label electability west virginia primary. Show all posts
Wednesday, May 14, 2008
Hillary Runs to Exist
love this story.
Saturday, May 10, 2008
CNN Thinks Hillary's West Virginia Win Will Matter
attention cnn: it's over.
west virginia and kentucky will go to the republicans. they are states with a high number of intolerant people, to put it nicely. in the general election, obama will make up for these ugly voters.
west virginia and kentucky will go to the republicans. they are states with a high number of intolerant people, to put it nicely. in the general election, obama will make up for these ugly voters.
Obama acknowledges that West Virginians favor Clinton."She is going to do very well in West Virginia and Kentucky. She will win those states in all likelihood by significant margins," Obama said this week.
According to CNN's latest estimate, Obama has 1,860 total delegates to Clinton's 1,696.
A big Clinton win will send a powerful message that there are a lot of Democrats not yet ready to get on the Obama bandwagon.
The Clintons’ Fraud Case
No Way, No How Can McCain Win
The Incredible Shrinking Republicans
How Hillary Exploited “White Working Class”
The Real Reason Hillary Stays In
Hillary Compensates for Her Femaleness
Friday, May 09, 2008
Hillary's Hater Support
cnn is reporting that obama is going to do poorly in west virginia. no kidding.
haven't we already seen, that yes, hillary has the support of racist folks, of which there are many in west virginia. i'm not saying all of west virginia because there are certainly non racists who are voting for hillary or for obama or mccain or whoever.
what i am saying and have been saying for months now, is that hillary does well in states where there is a large contingent of haters. now, the news media isn't able to come right out and say it (instead they use code "white working class") and cnn appears to be oblivious to the trend, but ohio, pennsylvania, west virginia and kentucky, are perhaps the states with the most intolerant people. so don't be surprised that obama isn't polling well there.
these are the sorts of people who believe all those emails that come their way. they are susceptible to manipulation. i won't speculate why that is.
but hillary's hater support is the basis for her whole "i'm more electable" argument. she's wrong. obama does plenty well with white voters. obama won white working class voters in iowa, wisconsin and elsewhere.
but, as i've said before, obama doesn't stand a snowball's chance in hell in west virginia or kentucky. those states will go to mccain. then after obama is elected, the haters might learn a thing or two.
here's what we should be surprised by -- that hillary isn't calling out her hater supporters for what they are. no, no. instead, she's been manipulating them this entire campaign, which is what makes her despicable and not worthy of any position on obama's team.
How Hillary Exploited “White Working Class”
The Real Reason Hillary Stays In
Hillary Compensates for Her Femaleness
haven't we already seen, that yes, hillary has the support of racist folks, of which there are many in west virginia. i'm not saying all of west virginia because there are certainly non racists who are voting for hillary or for obama or mccain or whoever.
what i am saying and have been saying for months now, is that hillary does well in states where there is a large contingent of haters. now, the news media isn't able to come right out and say it (instead they use code "white working class") and cnn appears to be oblivious to the trend, but ohio, pennsylvania, west virginia and kentucky, are perhaps the states with the most intolerant people. so don't be surprised that obama isn't polling well there.
these are the sorts of people who believe all those emails that come their way. they are susceptible to manipulation. i won't speculate why that is.
but hillary's hater support is the basis for her whole "i'm more electable" argument. she's wrong. obama does plenty well with white voters. obama won white working class voters in iowa, wisconsin and elsewhere.
but, as i've said before, obama doesn't stand a snowball's chance in hell in west virginia or kentucky. those states will go to mccain. then after obama is elected, the haters might learn a thing or two.
here's what we should be surprised by -- that hillary isn't calling out her hater supporters for what they are. no, no. instead, she's been manipulating them this entire campaign, which is what makes her despicable and not worthy of any position on obama's team.
How Hillary Exploited “White Working Class”
The Real Reason Hillary Stays In
Hillary Compensates for Her Femaleness
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