Friday, October 03, 2008

Post Debate Poll Wrap

Some excellent news in New Hampshire and New Mexico. First New Mexico:
Rassmusen: New Mexico has been near the top of the list of “Red States” that Democrats hoped to “Turn Blue” in Election 2008 and Barack Obama is poised to do so with just over a month to go until Election Day.
While John McCain was up by two points in this key southwestern state a month ago, Obama now has a 49% to 44% lead in the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state.
Obama is viewed favorably by 53% of New Mexico voters, McCain by 47%.
New Hampshire.
Rasmussen: The last week and-a-half has brought plenty of discouraging news from around the nation for John McCain’s Presidential campaign and the latest polling from New Hampshire isn’t going to change that pattern. Barack Obama now enjoys a ten point lead in the Granite State.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in New Hampshire Obama attracting 53% of the vote while McCain earns 43%. This is the first time Obama has held a significant lead in the state since July and the first time he’s held a double digit lead since June. Polls in August and September showed the race to be a toss-up. In fact, less than two weeks ago, McCain was up by two points, 49% to 47%.
More New Hampshire polling
All battleground polling
Daily tracking polls
Gallup: Obama is up 1 to 49 and McCain is down 1 to 42
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday again shows Barack Obama attracting 51% of the vote while John McCain earns 44%. For each of the past eight days, Obama has been at 50% or 51% and McCain has been at 44% or 45% (see trends). New polling shows Obama pulling away in New Hampshire and opening a growing lead in the Electoral College projections.
Electoral college (270 to win):
Rasmussen: With these changes, Obama leads in states with 217 Electoral College votes while McCain is ahead in states with 174 Electoral College votes. When “leaners” are included, it’s Obama 264, McCain 185.
RCP's electoral map: Obama 264 McCain 163 Tossup 111
Electoral-Vote's map: Obama 363 McCain 185 Tie 15
Zogby: Obama 234 McCain 179 Too Close 125