Wednesday, October 22, 2008

McCain's Last Ditch Effort in Pennsylvania

McCain's going after that "hardworking white voter" in Pennsylvania. He thinks there are enough people with racial prejudices to win Pennsylvania. After all, Hillary beat Obama there.
Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell also thinks there may be enough prejudice to beat Obama and has asked Obama to return to the state, even though Obama has a double digit lead.
The fact is, if the polls are right, McCain has to win Pennsylvania, because he's lost Colorado, New Mexico and possibly Nevada. He needed all of those electoral votes but he's going for the easier strategy of focusing on one state with 21 electoral votes, which has more than those three states combined.
NYT: Mr. McCain’s strategists insisted that the state and its 21 electoral votes were within reach and crucial to what they acknowledge is an increasingly narrow path to victory. They say that their own polls show Mr. McCain only seven or eight percentage points behind Mr. Obama. (The state polls that show Mr. Obama with a double-digit lead, all conducted in recent weeks, include surveys by Marist, Quinnipiac, Rasmussen, SurveyUSA and The Allentown Morning Call.)

Mr. McCain’s strategists argue that their candidate has a dual appeal: to the pro-gun working-class voters in the western coal country, many of whom supported Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York in the Democratic primary, and to independents and moderates in the swing counties around Philadelphia.

“When we look at our numbers, we think we’re competitive here,” Mark Salter, Mr. McCain’s closest adviser, told reporters in Harrisburg on Tuesday. He added, “We would like to get as many Clinton supporters as we can.”

Another reason for Mr. McCain’s focus on Pennsylvania may be the shrinking electoral map, as Mr. Obama’s dominance leaves Mr. McCain with fewer and fewer competitive states to campaign in, and the need to avoid another embarrassing concession like Michigan, which the campaign abandoned early this month.